Based on our computer model, the New Orleans Saints will defeat the Denver Broncos when they square off at Caesars Superdome on Thursday, Oct. 17 (at 8:15 p.m. ET). We have more projections, regarding the point spread, total and final score, available in this article.

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While the Broncos rank fourth-worst in the NFL in total offense with 278.2 yards per game, it’s been a different story on defense, as they rank fourth-best (284.3 yards per game allowed). The Saints have been struggling defensively, ranking worst with 395.8 total yards surrendered per game. They have been more effective on offense, compiling 319.8 total yards per contest (18th-ranked).

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Saints vs. Broncos Predictions and Picks

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Saints Betting Info

• The oddsmakers’ moneyline implies a 45.5% chance of a victory for the Saints.
• New Orleans has covered three times in six games with a spread this season.
• The Saints have been an underdog by 2.5 points or more four times this season, and covered the spread in two of those contests.
• In New Orleans’ six contests this year, the combined scoring has gone over the point total four times.
• The average total for Saints games (postseason included) is 44.2 points, 7.2 more than this game’s over/under.

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Broncos Betting Info

• Based on this game’s moneyline, the Broncos’ implied win probability is 59.2%.
• Denver has put together a 4-2-0 record against the spread this season.
• The Broncos have been favored by 2.5 points or more once this season, and covered the spread.
• A total of three out of six Denver games this season have hit the over.
• The over/under in this matchup is 37 points, 1.5 fewer than the average total in this season’s Broncos contests (playoffs included).

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Saints vs. Broncos 2024 Scoring Insights

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